By Nelson Ayivor
A December 2025 tracking poll by Global InfoAnalytics has placed former Vice President Dr Mahamadu Bawumia firmly in the lead of the New Patriotic Party’s evolving flagbearer race, showing him as the preferred choice of a majority of general voters across the country.
The poll, released by Global InfoAnalytics, indicates that 56 percent of general voters currently favour Dr Bawumia as the NPP’s next presidential candidate, well ahead of his closest challenger, Kennedy Ohene Agyapong, who polled 28 percent.
The findings suggest that despite the party’s loss of power in the 2024 general elections, Dr Bawumia retains significant national appeal and continues to dominate voter sentiment in many key regions.
According to the poll, other contenders trail far behind, with Dr Bryan Acheampong polling 6 percent, Dr Yaw Osei Adutwum at 5 percent, and Kwabena Agyei Agyapong at 4 percent among general voters.
A closer look at the regional breakdown paints a nuanced picture of the contest. Dr Bawumia enjoys what the poll describes as healthy leads in Ashanti, Bono East, Central, Greater Accra, North East, Northern, Savannah, Upper West and Upper East regions.
Notably, the data also suggests that he has reclaimed the Volta Region, an area traditionally considered challenging terrain for the NPP. This development, if sustained, could be politically significant, as it points to a potential broadening of his national base beyond the party’s strongholds.
Kennedy Agyapong as a Formidable Challenger and Bryan Acheampong’s Consistency
Kennedy Ohene Agyapong, however, emerges as a formidable regional challenger. The poll shows him leading Dr Bawumia in the Oti Region, while the race between the two remains tight in Ahafo, Bono and Western North.
These regions appear to be shaping up as key battlegrounds where shifts in voter sentiment could alter the dynamics of the race as the party moves closer to its delegate conference.
Dr Bryan Acheampong’s performance, while modest in the national aggregate, stands out for its consistency. Global InfoAnalytics notes that Acheampong is the only candidate whose level of support remains relatively stable when comparing general voters with core NPP voters.
The poll tracking agency also posts comparatively stronger numbers in Eastern, Volta, Western, and Western North regions, suggesting pockets of influence that could become relevant in a highly fragmented contest. One of the more striking elements of the poll is the reemergence of Dr Yaw Osei Adutwum, particularly in the Ahafo Region.
Among ordinary voters, Dr. Adutwum appears to be drawing enough support to narrow Dr. Bawumia’s lead, introducing an element of uncertainty into what might otherwise be considered a safe zone for the former Vice President. Analysts suggest this could be an early signal of regional realignments that may later reflect in delegate preferences.
Bawumia’s Dominance among NPP Supporters
When the focus shifts from general voters to declared NPP supporters, Dr Bawumia’s dominance becomes even more pronounced. Among NPP voters, he commands an overwhelming 73 percent support, compared with 19 percent for Kennedy Ohene Agyapong.
Dr Bryan Acheampong follows with 5 percent, while Dr Adutwum and Kwabena Agyei Agyapong trail with 3 percent and 1 percent respectively. This commanding lead across the party’s base underscores Dr Bawumia’s entrenched position within the NPP grassroots.
Regional analysis of NPP voters’ preferences reinforces this picture. Dr Bawumia leads in all regions with comfortable margins, with Ahafo again standing out as the only region where the contest appears significantly tighter.
The continued strength of Dr Adutwum in that region suggests that Dr Bawumia may face localized challenges if these voter patterns extend to party delegates.
Despite the clarity of the numbers among general and party voters, Mussa Dankwa cautioned that the dynamics among delegates could differ substantially. In the NPP’s internal elections, delegates, rather than the broader electorate, ultimately determine the flagbearer.
Historical patterns show that delegate choices can diverge from popular sentiment, influenced by internal party structures, regional bargaining and strategic alliances. The poll therefore provides an important but incomplete snapshot of the race ahead of the NPP’s delegate conference scheduled for December 31, 2026.
While Dr Bawumia’s strong showing positions him as the clear frontrunner at this stage, the data also highlights emerging undercurrents that could shape the contest over the next year.
Regional competitiveness, the resilience of alternative candidates and the unpredictable nature of delegate politics all suggest that the race remains open to further shifts.
For now, the Global InfoAnalytics findings confirm that Dr Bawumia enters the next phase of the NPP’s internal contest with a commanding advantage, both nationally and within the party’s core support base.
Whether this advantage translates into delegate dominance will depend on how effectively contenders convert voter sentiment into internal party backing in the months ahead.